Weather Forecast

Extended Forecast  |  Significant/Hazardous Weather  |  Recreational Forecast  |  Detailed Discussion  |  Farm & Garden  |  Wind by Elevation  |  Temperature by Elevation

Detailed Forecast

Tuesday Night:
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and storms, mainly early in the north, and mainly late in the south. Some evening storms could contain gusty winds and hail. Lows in the mid to upper 50s, some lower 50s northeast and in the Adirondacks. South winds 5 to 10 mph, becoming southwest and diminishing.

Wednesday:
Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered showers, with the slight chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. Highs from the mid 60s to around 70. Winds variable to southeast around 5 mph, except from the northeast at 5 to 10 mph in the St. Lawrence Valley.

Wednesday Night:
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers, more numerous north, tapering off. Mostly cloudy, with some patchy fog. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Winds becoming light and variable.

Extended Forecast

Thursday:
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain early in far southern New Hampshire, otherwise scattered to widely scattered showers. Highs from the upper 60s to mid 70s. Winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph.

Thursday Night:
Any spotty evening showers ending. Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to low 50s.

Friday:
Partly sunny. A few localized afternoon showers possible. Highs in the 70s.

Friday Night:
Partly cloudy in the evening, then increasing clouds.  A chance of showers west of the Green Mountains late.  Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s

Saturday:
Mostly cloudy, with a good chance of showers, more so in the afternoon.  Highs in the 60s to near 70.

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Significant/Hazardous Weather

A few strong thunderstorm and possible this evening in areas near and north of Route 2, and could include gusty winds and hail.

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Recreational Forecast

Mountain Forecast:
Today calls for clouds, some breaks of sun, then in and out across the northern summits. Scattered afternoon showers or a thunderstorm, mostly north of Killington. Light to moderate southwest winds, decreasing and becoming northwest, with a continued warming trend. Wednesday features clouds frequently obscuring the mountains, with a good chance of showers. Temperatures will cool a few degrees, while winds remain southwest. Thursday’s outlook brings variable clouds and sun, a few localized showers, with temperatures the same or a few degrees warmer, while winds becoming light to moderate from the east.

***During spring, many higher elevation trails are closed. If a trail is muddy, find an alternative trail. Hiking on or around muddy trails increases erosion and damages plant life. ***

Wind At Lower Elevations:
Winds today from the south, continuing 10 to 15 mph, with gusts to 20 to 30 mph, strongest in the Champlain Valley. For Tuesday night, south winds, becoming southwest near 10 mph, diminishing to light. On Wednesday, light winds, becoming northwest less than 10 mph. The outlook for Thursday calls for light winds, becoming southeast less than 10 mph.

For more details on Lake Champlain, go to: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&product=REC&issuedby=BTV

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Detailed Discussion

Yesterday’s pleasant start, with morning sunshine, gave way to developing clouds, producing localized, passing afternoon showers in the St. Lawrence Valley and NY, working their way into western VT, generally falling apart from the Green Mountains east, with just a few isolated showers. Those showers increased through the overnight, ahead of a warm front currently lifting northeast through the area, from east of Montreal, southeast through the Northeast Kingdom and into central NH. Temperatures are a bit cooler northeast, in the upper 40s, and climbing into the 50s as the warm air follows the front. The warm frost extends northwest to low pressure northwest of Montreal, while a cold front extends from this storm southwest through the eastern Great Lakes to Cleveland, and then to a poorly organized low pressure system in the mid-Mississippi Valley. With the warm front lifting through, the early showers in the north have mostly moved out, with the exception of Quebec, where the front slows down, and clouds and scattered showers linger most of the day. For most of us, some breaks of sun develop, especially south of the Adirondacks and Rt. 2. This adds a bit of warmth and energy to the atmosphere, so that as the cold front slowly approaches, clusters of showers and a few thunderstorms should form during this afternoon. Ahead of the storms, temperatures will warm into the 70s, except some 60s lingering in Quebec, with more showers and clouds there. Additional showers continue tonight into Wednesday, with the cold front taking its time progressing east. The front will decay over us on Thursday, keeping plenty of clouds and a few localized, passing showers in the forecast, more so in the afternoon. By Friday, slightly drier works in, though the potential for a stray shower remains, mostly in NH. This somewhat chaotic, noisy pattern continues into the weekend, with a minor front on Saturday enhancing the chance of showers, then exiting with a lesser chance on Sunday.

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Farm & Garden

Rainfall Forecast:
Numerous showers from the Adirondacks and Rt. 2 north this morning, covering 70 percent of the area, decreasing to 50 percent all areas this afternoon, with amounts of 0.10 to 0.25 inches, locally over 0.50 inches. Scattered to numerous showers Wednesday, with coverage near 50 percent, and amounts of 0.10 to 0.25 inches, bringing three-day totals to 0.50 to 1.0 inches for much of the area. A chance of a localized, passing shower or two Thursday, and just a slight chance on Friday. A good chance of showers Saturday, with moderate amounts possible.

Drying Conditions:
Fair to poor drying conditions north today, with morning showers, scattered this afternoon, and minimum relative humidities near 65 percent, and fair south, with scattered afternoon showers or a thunderstorm, and minimum relative humidities near 50 percent. Fair to poor drying expected Wednesday, with a good chance of showers, and minimum relative humidities near 65 percent. Fair to good drying Thursday, with a few localized afternoon showers, and minimum relative humidities near 50 percent. Good drying Friday, just an isolated shower. Fair to poor drying expected Saturday, with a good chance of showers.

Frost:
No frost of freezing temperatures over the next several days.

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Wind by Elevation

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Temperature by Elevation

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