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Eye on the Sky

February 22, 2017

Detailed Forecast

Today

Variable clouds south. Increasing clouds north of Route 4, with the chance for rain showers, mainly in the afternoon. Highs in the 50s, except mid to upper 40s in southern Québec, and some lower 60s possible southwest. Winds from the south to southwest at 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 20 mph east of the Greens, and to 35 mph west during the afternoon.

Tonight

Periods of clouds south. Mostly cloudy north, with any evening rain or wet snow showers ending. Lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s north, and mid to upper 30s south. Northwest winds around 10 mph, gusting to 20 mph in the evening, diminishing overnight.

Significant/Hazardous Weather

Warm temperatures through Saturday, and periods of rain from Saturday into Saturday night will result in significant melting, causing area rivers to rise. Those who live or travel near rivers should remain alert to the possibility of ice jam flooding.

Extended Forecast

Today

Variable clouds south. Increasing clouds north of Route 4, with the chance for rain showers, mainly in the afternoon. Highs in the 50s, except mid to upper 40s in southern Québec, and some lower 60s possible southwest. Winds from the south to southwest at 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 20 mph east of the Greens, and to 35 mph west during the afternoon.

Tonight

Periods of clouds south. Mostly cloudy north, with any evening rain or wet snow showers ending. Lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s north, and mid to upper 30s south. Northwest winds around 10 mph, gusting to 20 mph in the evening, diminishing overnight.

Friday

A few breaks of morning sun possible, mainly east. Otherwise mostly cloudy, with a rising chance of showers. Highs in the low to mid 40s north, mid to upper 40s south, with some lower 50s far south. Winds light east of the Green Mountains, becoming east to southeast near 10 mph from the Green Mountains west.

Friday Night

Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows in the 30s east, and low to mid 40s west.

Saturday

A chance of rain in the morning, becoming likely west in the afternoon. Breezy and mild. Highs in the 50s.

Saturday Night

Rain showers, mixing or changing to snow showers and tapering off south, decreasing north. Lows in the mid 20s to low 30s north, in the low to mid 30s south.

Sunday

Variable clouds and sun, more sun in southern valleys, and more clouds with snow showers over the higher terrain and north. Much colder. Highs in the upper 20s to mid 30s north, in the 30s south.

Significant/Hazardous Weather

Warm temperatures through Saturday, and periods of rain from Saturday into Saturday night will result in significant melting, causing area rivers to rise. Those who live or travel near rivers should remain alert to the possibility of ice jam flooding.

Recreational Forecast

General:

Early clouds, a slight chance of a sprinkle, then becoming partly sunny, with more periods of clouds north. Highs ranging through the 40s. Winds south to southwest 10 mph or less.

Brief:

The only thing consistent about this winter is its inconsistency, and there’s no change in that in our future. We will be quite mild through the weekend, as well as slightly unsettled – meaning periods of clouds, and a few opportunities for brief, passing showers, but no significant weather system will move in until Saturday.

Late yesterday and last evening, a weak system fell apart as it moved into the region – only a few localized showers, which have dried up and headed east. High pressure is found off the East Coast, the same one that brought the cold weather yesterday morning. But its location to our east means a mild southwest airflow here, which will last into the weekend. Riding the edge of this mild airflow will be a storm now bringing some showers to Minnesota, heading for the Great Lakes. That storm will pass to our north later tomorrow, increasing the mild south winds, and scattering some showers over northern areas later tomorrow and tomorrow evening, allowing a weak front to drift south tomorrow night. That front turns back into a warm front late Friday, with a period of showers, then breezy and mild Saturday. By then, a stronger storm will come out of the Rockies into the Plains, tracking to our north, delivering a period of rain and showers Saturday, especially in the afternoon. The combination of melting snow through the weekend, and a more substantial rain later Saturday could send rivers up and out of their banks, especially if an ice jam forms. People near rivers will need to monitor the situation. A cold front then pushes through late Saturday night into Sunday, changing rain showers to snow showers, with temperatures falling Sunday as colder weather returns.

Winds:

Winds today from the south to southwest at 10 mph or less. Winds this evening light, becoming south 10 to 15 mph from the Green Mountains west overnight. On Thursday, winds south to southwest 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 20 mph east, and 35 mph west in the afternoon. Friday’s outlook calls for winds light east of the Green Mountains, becoming east to southeast near 10 mph from the Green Mountains west.


For more details on Lake Champlain, go to: http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&product=REC&issuedby=BTV

Mountain:

The summits this morning will start with periods of clouds in and out, giving way to increasing periods of sun south, lots of clouds north, moderate west winds decreasing, and even milder. On Thursday, the summits will remain unseasonably mild, with winds turning to the southwest. Partly sunny skies are expected south, with periods of clouds and a few showers are possible for the northern summits. Friday’s outlook calls for periods of clouds increasing and lower, with a rising chance of rain showers from west to east in the afternoon. Moderate west to southwest winds, and continued mild.

Winds Today Friday
2000ft SW 20 to 35 mph light > S 15 to 30 mph
4000ft W 30 > SW 45 mph W 10 > SW 25 mph
6000ft W 50 > SW 70 mph W 35 to 50 mph
Temperatures Today Friday
2000ft 47 N/55 S 40s
4000ft upper 40s 40s
6000ft upper 30s upper 30s