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Eye on the Sky

November 14, 2019

Detailed Forecast

Today

The rest of today: Cloudy with scattered snow showers ending through the evening. Temperatures in the 20s. Winds south 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, with a few lingering snow showers north this evening. Some clearing later at night. Lows in the 20s, near 20 northeast. Winds light and variable east of the Green Mountains, and south 10 to 15 mph gusting to 25 mph from the Green Mountains west.

Friday

Partly sunny south. Any sun giving way to periods of clouds north, with a rising chance of afternoon snow showers, mixed with rain in the valleys. Not so cold. Highs in the 30s north to low 40s south. Winds from the southwest 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph from the Green Mountains west, shifting to the west in the afternoon.

Friday Night

Periods of clouds, with a good chance of evening snow showers north, then clearing and quite cold. Lows in the single numbers to near 10 north, and 10 to 15 south. Winds becoming northwest 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph.

Significant/Hazardous Weather

None today. An arctic front could produce a few locally heavier snow squalls late tomorrow in the north, resulting in sudden changes in driving conditions as well as scattered white outs.

Extended Forecast

Today

The rest of today: Cloudy with scattered snow showers ending through the evening. Temperatures in the 20s. Winds south 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight

Mostly cloudy, with a few lingering snow showers north this evening. Some clearing later at night. Lows in the 20s, near 20 northeast. Winds light and variable east of the Green Mountains, and south 10 to 15 mph gusting to 25 mph from the Green Mountains west.

Friday

Partly sunny south. Any sun giving way to periods of clouds north, with a rising chance of afternoon snow showers, mixed with rain in the valleys. Not so cold. Highs in the 30s north to low 40s south. Winds from the southwest 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph from the Green Mountains west, shifting to the west in the afternoon.

Friday Night

Periods of clouds, with a good chance of evening snow showers north, then clearing and quite cold. Lows in the single numbers to near 10 north, and 10 to 15 south. Winds becoming northwest 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph.

Saturday

Becoming mostly sunny. Colder. Highs from the upper teens to upper 20s north to south. Winds northwest, becoming north 10 to 15 mph, decreasing in the afternoon.

Saturday Night

Mostly clear and very cold. Lows in the single numbers to low teens, with cold spots zero to 5 below.

Sunday

Sunshine, mixing with afternoon clouds. Highs easing back into the 30s.

Sunday Night

Periods of clouds. Not as cold. Lows in the teens north, near 10 in the cold spots northeast, and low to mid 20s south.

Monday

Becoming mostly cloudy, with a chance of rain or snow showers south. Highs in the mid 30s to low 40s.

Significant/Hazardous Weather

None today. An arctic front could produce a few locally heavier snow squalls late tomorrow in the north, resulting in sudden changes in driving conditions as well as scattered white outs.

Recreational Forecast

General:

Mostly cloudy, and becoming breezy. Scattered snow showers in NY and the St. Lawrence Valley, spreading east, mostly north of Rt. 2, a few flurries south to Rt. 4. Not as cold. Highs in the mid 20s to low 30s. Winds south to southeast 10 to 15 mph from the Green Mountains west, and light, becoming south near 10 mph east.

Brief:

Some of the coldest weather this early in November is finally starting to lift off to our east, thanks to developing southwest winds, and departing arctic high pressure. However, the trade-off will be a rather cloudy day, as well as a gusty south wind making it feel that much colder. We find a weak warm front lifting northeast through NY toward us, with 20s west of the front, and teens and single numbers here. The milder air riding over the cold has formed a shield of clouds, and some light snow showers in northern NY, slated to spread east, but with limited moisture. It means mostly cloudy skies, and a few flurries or snow showers in NY, and north of Rt. 4 into the White Mountains. A weak cold front follows tonight, helping with some clearing later tonight. The warming trend, though, will resume Friday, offering a bit of sunshine to southern areas. Northern locations could see some early sun, but clouds will increase as the next cold front, an arctic front, swings through later Friday and Friday evening, with some snow showers north, and potentially some brief, heavier squalls of snow, followed by another very cold, mid-winter day Saturday. After a cold start, temperatures will moderate a little by Sunday afternoon. Next week brings more seasonable temperatures, but also uncertainty about storminess near or off the East Coast. We’ll mention the chance of rain or snow Monday, though confidence is quite low.

Winds:

Winds today light winds east of the Green Mountains become south near 10 mph, increasing from the south to southeast 10 to 15 mph from the Green Mountains west, gusting to 30 mph in the Champlain Valley and over the higher terrain, with waves on the open waters of Lake Champlain building to 2 to 4 feet. Tonight, winds south 10 to 15 mph, gusting 30 to 40 mph from the Green Mountains west, with waves on the open waters of Lake Champlain 2 to 4 feet. On Friday, winds from the southwest 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 30 mph from the Green Mountains west, shifting to the west in the afternoon, with waves on the open waters of Lake Champlain 2 to 4 feet, subsiding to 1 to 3 feet in the afternoon. On Saturday, expect winds from the northwest, becoming north 10 to 15 mph, decreasing in the afternoon.

For more details on Lake Champlain, go to: http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&product=REC&issuedby=BTV

Mountain:

The summits today will enjoy a moderation in the cold, with mostly cloudy skies, scattered snow showers north, and freshening southwest winds. Friday brings partly sunny skies south, becoming mostly cloudy north, with a snow showers developing as clouds lower onto the summits. Moderate to strong southwest winds will gradually shift to the west and northwest, and temperatures will start falling in the afternoon north, and evening south. The weekend outlook starts with lots of sunshine but bitterly cold weather Saturday, moderate north winds decreasing in the afternoon. On Sunday, sunshine will mix with clouds, with lighter winds turning to the south, helping temperatures warm several degrees.

Winds Today Friday Saturday
2000ft S 20 to 35 mph SW>NW 20 to 35 mph N 25>15 mph
4000ft SW 25>35 mph SW>NW 30 to 45 mph N 40>20 mph
6000ft SW 35>50 mph SW>NW 60 to 80 mph N 75>60 mph
Temperatures Today Friday Saturday
2000ft 25 N/32 S 32 N/38 S 13 N/24 S
4000ft 20 to 25 20s>teens 10 to 15
6000ft near 20 20s>10 near 5A

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