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Eye on the Sky

December 9, 2022

Detailed Forecast

Today

This evening: Clear with temperatures falling into and through the 20s. North winds 5 to 15 mph, strongest over the Champlain Valley.

Tonight

Clear and cold. Lows in the teens, possibly some single digits in the cooler northern hollows. North winds less than 10 mph.

Saturday

Sunshine mixing with a few scattered clouds later in the day south. Another nice day. Highs in the 30s, with mid and upper 20s over the elevated terrain. North winds up to 10 mph.

Saturday Night

Becoming mostly cloudy. Not as cold with lows in the mid teens to lower 20s. Winds light and variable.

Significant/Hazardous Weather

None,

Extended Forecast

Today

This evening: Clear with temperatures falling into and through the 20s. North winds 5 to 15 mph, strongest over the Champlain Valley.

Tonight

Clear and cold. Lows in the teens, possibly some single digits in the cooler northern hollows. North winds less than 10 mph.

Saturday

Sunshine mixing with a few scattered clouds later in the day south. Another nice day. Highs in the 30s, with mid and upper 20s over the elevated terrain. North winds up to 10 mph.

Saturday Night

Becoming mostly cloudy. Not as cold with lows in the mid teens to lower 20s. Winds light and variable.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy with some morning sun northeast. A good chance of light snow through the afternoon and evening, mainly south and west of Rutland. Highs in the upper 20s to mid 30s. Winds light and variable.

Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy. Snow likely from Lake George into southern Vermont and far southern New Hampshire; chance of light snow from the Champlain Valley into central Vermont and central New Hampshire; chance of flurries from the northern Green Mountains eastward. Lows from the upper teens to mid 20s, some mid teens in northeastern cold hollows.

Monday

Slight chance of early flurries far south, otherwise clearing. Highs in the low to mid 30s, some upper 20s far north.

Monday Night

Mainly clear. Lows in the teens to around 20.

Tuesday

Mainly clear. Lows in the teens to around 20.

Significant/Hazardous Weather

None,

Recreational Forecast

General:

Decreasing clouds this morning from the Adirondacks into the upper Hudson Valley, otherwise mostly sunny. Highs in the low to mid 30s north, and mid 30s to around 40 in the south. Winds from the north at 5 to 10 mph, gusting to 20 mph.

Brief:

The trend toward more winter-like weather will continue today, especially in terms of temperatures. Today’s highs mainly in the 30s will, if anything, get gradually colder in the coming days, while the upcoming nights will also be cold, with lows most often in the teens. A northerly breeze will make it feel that much colder today, and the breeze will stick around tomorrow, but should be slightly diminished by then. One thing that’s very non-winter-like is the lack of snow. It does look like this will be corrected, at least over southwestern portions of the forecast area, late in the weekend.

For today and tomorrow, despite the chilly conditions, sunshine will be the rule. The one exception to this will be some lingering clouds early today, stretching from the Adirondacks into the upper Hudson Valley. But these clouds should melt away through the morning, as a strong ridge juts in, emanating from strong and cold high pressure centered over eastern Canada.

With a couple of brief interruptions, this ridge will become the dominant force over our weather through the middle of next week. The first interruption will come in the form of low pressure moving out of the southern Great Lakes region. From late Sunday into Sunday night, this low will angle from Lake Ontario into the lower Hudson Valley, while weakening, and will striking a glancing blow to western and southern portions of the forecast area.

This will bring clouds back in on Sunday, as well as the chance of light snow late Sunday afternoon in New York, southwestern Vermont. and the Berkshires. Snow will then become likely on Sunday night from Lake George into southern Vermont and far southern New Hampshire. The will be a sharp cut-off in snow amounts as one looks toward the northeast on the map. This suggests a chance of light snow from the Champlain Valley into central Vermont and central New Hampshire, and just the chance of flurries from the northern Green Mountains eastward.

This has the look of a quick-hitting event with only minor accumulations, possible a few inches in the southern Greens, but otherwise 3 inches or less in the south, and an inch or less elsewhere.

By Monday, cold high pressure centered over Québec will quickly regain control. The result will be a multi-day span of mainly clear skies and chilly temperatures. Breezy conditions could develop on Wednesday, due to low pressure retrograding through Nova Scotia, but the next chance for precipitation won’t come until Thursday at the earliest. It’s unclear what the precipitation type would be for any late-week precipitation, but the best guess is all – or at least mostly – snow.

Winds:

At lower elevations today, winds will come out of the north at 5 to 10 mph, and will occasionally gust to 20 mph. On Saturday, winds will be north to northeasterly winds at 5 to 10 mph, and will gust to 15 mph in the Champlain Valley. Sunday’s winds will be from the southeast at around 5 mph.

Mountain:

Even the mountains will see lots of sunshine today and tomorrow, thanks to a cold ridge of high pressure stretching in from Eastern Canada. The only exception to this will be in the Adirondacks this morning, where any lingering clouds will be thinning out. Northerly winds today will be moderate, gusting to 35 mph at 4,000 feet, and to 25 mph at 2,000 feet. Make sure to bundle-up if you’ll be heading into the higher terrain today, where winds chills will range in the single digits and teens above, except over the high summits of the White Mountains, where wind chills will be below zero.

Winds Today Saturday Sunday
2000ft N 10 to 20 mph, G 25 NE 5 to 10 mph, G 20 early SE 5 to 15 mph
4000ft NNE 15 to 25 mph, G 35 NE 10 to 20 mph, G 30 early SE 15 to 20 mph, bcmg S
6000ft NNE 30 to 45 mph, G 50 NE 15 to 25 mph, G 40 SE 15 to 30 mph, bcmg S
Temperatures Today Saturday Sunday
2000ft Mid to upper 20s, WC 14 Mid to upper 20s Low to mid 20s
4000ft Mid to upper 20s, WC 08 Mid to upper 20s Low to mid 20s
6000ft Upper teens to lower 20s, WC -5 Low to mid 20s Mid to upper teens

Eye on the Sky is produced at the Fairbanks Museum & Planetarium.

Climate Change for Vermonters

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