Eye on the Sky
March 31, 2023
Detailed Forecast
Today
Tonight
Snow or rain, tapering to drizzle, freezing in spots east. Lows 31-35. Total snow accumulation: Trace-1” south and Champlain Valley, 1-3” north South to southeast winds 5 to 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph from the Green Mountains west, near calm in wind-sheltered valleys east.
Saturday
Morning rain, then cloudy, mild, afternoon showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms, especially west of the Greens. Highs upper 40s to mid 50s northeast; otherwise mid 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 30 mph, becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph, gusting to 30 mph.
Saturday Night
Early rain showers changing to snow showers and diminishing. Lows in the teens to near 20 north, in the 20s south. Winds becoming northwest 10 to 20 mph, gusting to 35 mph.
Significant/Hazardous Weather
None.
Extended Forecast
Today
Tonight
Snow or rain, tapering to drizzle, freezing in spots east. Lows 31-35. Total snow accumulation: Trace-1” south and Champlain Valley, 1-3” north South to southeast winds 5 to 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph from the Green Mountains west, near calm in wind-sheltered valleys east.
Saturday
Morning rain, then cloudy, mild, afternoon showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms, especially west of the Greens. Highs upper 40s to mid 50s northeast; otherwise mid 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 30 mph, becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph, gusting to 30 mph.
Saturday Night
Early rain showers changing to snow showers and diminishing. Lows in the teens to near 20 north, in the 20s south. Winds becoming northwest 10 to 20 mph, gusting to 35 mph.
Sunday
Any morning clouds and mountain snow showers giving way to sunshine. Blustery and colder, with highs in the 30s to low 40s south, and upper 20s to mid 30s north. Winds northwest 10 to 25 mph, gusting to 30-35 mph, strongest east.
Sunday Night
Clear in the evening, then some increasing clouds. Lows generally 15-25, except near 10 in some cold spots.
Monday
Partly sunny south. Becoming mostly cloudy north; scattered rain showers spreading east in the afternoon. Breezy and milder. Highs from the mid 40s to mid 50s.
Monday Night
Variable clouds. Chance for an evening shower, north. Lows ranging through the 30s.
Tuesday
Variable clouds. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s north, 50s to near 60 south.
Significant/Hazardous Weather
None.
Recreational Forecast
General:
Morning sun giving way to clouds, with snow or valley rain developing in NY early afternoon, spreading east. Less than an inch at lower elevations, 1 to 3 inches across the higher terrain. Highs from the upper 30s to mid 40s, some mid 30s northeast and in the Adirondacks. South to southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
Brief:
You could say March, rather than easing out like a lamb, appears to be “on the lam” so-to-say, bounding away from a squally, late-winter cold front Wednesday night, leading to a growling, biting northwest winds, limiting the sunshine to only modest efforts in terms of warming, as highs yesterday found it difficult to climb out of the 20s in the north, except the warmer valleys, while southern areas did break the freezing mark, though 30s are still well below the average for late March. With winds gusting 30 to 40 mph, it reminded me more of mid January rather than the end of March. Chilly high pressure slipped to our south last night, permitting winds to decrease, but also turn to a light southwest direction, especially from the Green Mountains west later tonight. Temperatures dropped to the teens and 20s overnight, some single digits in the cold spots, but the cold will be retreating today in advance of a strengthening storm that pulled out of the Rockies yesterday, and will grind east through Iowa today, and then into the Great Lakes by this time tomorrow morning. This steered increasing clouds in our direction last night, which means any early sun today will fade behind thickening clouds. Cold rain showers will be spreading east this afternoon as part of a leading disturbance tracking east along a warm front extending from the storm, east into NY and then southern New England. Enough cold air over the higher terrain, and some locations east of the Green Mountains from Rt. 2 north will result in areas of wet snow or a wintry mix, with little accumulation in the deeper valleys, but 1 to 3 inches over the higher elevations. As this diminishes this evening, the core of the storm heads northeast from the Great Lakes and to our north, drawing the warm front north, with a second period of rain, accompanied by steady or rising temperatures later tonight. Thus April arrives Saturday with spring-like rains, and thermometers reaching the 50s and 60s. With a cold front approaching from the west, a few thunderstorms and gusty winds are possible tomorrow afternoon, with Wind Advisories posted for parts of northern New York. I wouldn’t quite say that’s the weather’s version of April Fools, but it is worth noting that temperatures will turn sharply colder Saturday night into Sunday, changing any lingering rain showers to brief snow showers, then a blustery return to late winter Sunday, with some sunshine, and temperatures only in the 30s and low 40s.
Winds:
Winds today becoming south to southeast 5 to 15 mph. Tonight, winds south 5 to 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph from the Green Mountains west, near calm in wind-sheltered valleys east. On Saturday, southeast winds 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 30 mph, becoming southwest 10 to 25 mph, gusting 30 to 45 mph. Sunday’s outlook calls for northwest winds 10 to 25 mph, gusting 30 to 40 mph, strongest east.
For more details on Lake Champlain, go to: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&product=REC&issuedby=BTV
Mountain:
The summits today can expect clouds lowering with snow developing west to east this afternoon. Winds shifting to the southwest and becoming moderate, while temperatures rise into the 30s, settling back to the upper 20s as snow arrives. Temperatures will rise overnight, as winds strengthen from the southwest, and snow mixes or changes to lighter rain showers. The weekend starts with moderate to strong south winds Saturday, periods of rain, and temperatures warming to the 30s and 40s. Much colder air returns Sunday on moderate to strong northwest winds, decreasing some in the afternoon, as temperatures drop back to the teens and 20s.
Winds | Today | Saturday | Sunday |
---|---|---|---|
2000ft | SW 10>SSE 25 mph | S 35>SW 15 mph | NW 10 to 25 mph |
4000ft | S 10>35 mph | SW 55>W 35 mph | NW 25 to 35 mph |
6000ft | W 65>SW 45 mph | SW>WSW 60 to 75 mph | NW 95>75 mph |
Temperatures | Today | Saturday | Sunday |
2000ft | Low to mid 30s | 52 NE/59 SW | 25 N/36 S |
4000ft | 30s | near 50 | 20s |
6000ft | 20 to 25 | 30 to 35 | teens |