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Eye on the Sky

May 17, 2022

Detailed Forecast

Today

This Afternoon: Mostly cloudy north, with showers likely near the Québec border, and in the northern mountains, otherwise scattered. Partly cloudy south, with the slight chance of an early shower in far southern New Hampshire. Highs in the mid to upper 60s in the south, and in the southern Champlain Valley, mid 50s to mid 60s elsewhere north, and in the southern Greens. West winds 10 to 20 mph, gusting to 35 mph.

Tonight

Partly cloudy south. Mostly to partly cloudy north, with scattered evening showers. Lows from the upper 30s to mid 40s, some mid 30s northeast, and some patchy frost in the Adirondacks. West to northwest winds 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 30 mph early.

Wednesday

Mostly sunny. Highs mainly in the low to mid 60s, some upper 60s in far southern valleys, and some upper 50s northeast and in the Adirondacks. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph.

Wednesday Night

Increasing clouds. Chance of late-night showers west of the Greens. Lows in the mid to upper 40s in the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valleys, upper 30s to mid 40s elsewhere, and some mid 30s in the cold hollows. Winds becoming light, variable to southeast, except from the south at 5 to 10 mph in the Champlain Valley.

Significant/Hazardous Weather

None.

Extended Forecast

Today

This Afternoon: Mostly cloudy north, with showers likely near the Québec border, and in the northern mountains, otherwise scattered. Partly cloudy south, with the slight chance of an early shower in far southern New Hampshire. Highs in the mid to upper 60s in the south, and in the southern Champlain Valley, mid 50s to mid 60s elsewhere north, and in the southern Greens. West winds 10 to 20 mph, gusting to 35 mph.

Tonight

Partly cloudy south. Mostly to partly cloudy north, with scattered evening showers. Lows from the upper 30s to mid 40s, some mid 30s northeast, and some patchy frost in the Adirondacks. West to northwest winds 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 30 mph early.

Wednesday

Mostly sunny. Highs mainly in the low to mid 60s, some upper 60s in far southern valleys, and some upper 50s northeast and in the Adirondacks. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph.

Wednesday Night

Increasing clouds. Chance of late-night showers west of the Greens. Lows in the mid to upper 40s in the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valleys, upper 30s to mid 40s elsewhere, and some mid 30s in the cold hollows. Winds becoming light, variable to southeast, except from the south at 5 to 10 mph in the Champlain Valley.

Thursday

Mostly cloudy. Showers likely, except chance in southeastern Vermont and southern New Hampshire. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s in the south, mid to upper 50s north, with some lower 50s northeast. South to southeast winds 5 to 15 mph, gusting to 25 mph.

Thursday Night

Chance of evening showers, then partly cloudy with areas of fog. Lows in the 40s, except around 50 in the broad valleys west.

Friday

Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

Friday Night

Chance of showers, mainly north. Lows from the mid 50s to lower 60s east of the Greens, mid 60s to lower 70s west.

Saturday

Slight chance of a shower. Highs from the mid 80s to around 90.

Significant/Hazardous Weather

None.

Recreational Forecast

General:

This Afternoon: Mostly cloudy north, with showers likely near the Québec border, and in the northern mountains, otherwise scattered. Partly cloudy south, with the slight chance of an early shower in far southern New Hampshire. Highs in the mid to upper 60s in the south, and in the southern Champlain Valley, mid 50s to mid 60s elsewhere north, and in the southern Greens. West winds 10 to 20 mph, gusting to 35 mph.

Brief:

After a prolonged stretch of well above normal temperatures the mercury remains below normal today as a series of weak cold front ushers in a much colder air mass. Therefore highs today rise to around 60 over the northern valleys with lower to mid 60s coming south. It will feel much cooler due to a brisk northwest breeze between 10 and 20 mph with gusts around 30 mph. It will surely feel like we skipped over summer and fast forwarded to fall. Today will be the coldest day in the forecast as a warming trend occurs throughout the end of the week as highs make it back into the 80s for the start of the upcoming weekend. An upper level disturbance over Quebec supplies the chance of showers today but it will be far from as active as yesterday. A few showers come over northern areas this morning, particular over the higher terrain. Scattered showers become a bit more widespread this afternoon mainly north of Montpelier with far southern areas staying mostly dry. The most sunshine today comes through this morning and over southern areas where the least if any shower activity will be found. If you have been putting off high impact activities due to the recent stretch of above normal heat tomorrow offers a great opportunity to work up a sweat. Progressive high pressure provides a dry day tomorrow with a few high clouds sneaking in overhead through the afternoon. Comfortable spring highs in the lower to mid 60s come over the valleys. Although the end of the week will not be a total wash out some showers work their way back into the forecast. Unlike last week which offered a stagnant weather pattern due to blocking high pressure we see a transient and spring-like weather pattern later in the forecast. Computer models are firm that highs warm each day with some lower 70s over the warmer valley on Thursday, some lower 80s on Friday with widespread highs in the 80s to kick off the weekend. Currently there is a chance for a few afternoon showers and possibly a rumble of thunder Thursday but not severe weather, like yesterday, is expected. A cold front likely crosses the region for the middle to end of the weekend making for a better chance of wet conditions and cooler temperatures.

Winds:

Breezy northwest winds between 10 and 20 mph gusting to 30 mph come today. Tomorrow provides west to northwest winds between 10 and 15 mph with a few higher gusts early in the day.
For more details on Lake Champlain, go to: http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&product=REC&issuedby=BTV

Winds Today Wednesday Thursday
2000ft W 20 to 35 mph NW 5 to 15 mph S 10 to 20 mph
4000ft W 30 to 45 mph NW 15 to 30 mph SSW 20 to 45 mph
6000ft W 45 to 65 mph NW 20 to 45 mph SW 35 to 55 mph
Temperatures Today Wednesday Thursday
2000ft Lower 50s Upper 50s Mid 50s
4000ft Mid 40s Upper 40s Upper 40s
6000ft Upper 30s Upper 30s Upper 30s

Eye on the Sky is produced at the Fairbanks Museum & Planetarium.

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