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Eye on the Sky

January 22, 2022

Detailed Forecast

Today

This evening: Increasing mid and high clouds from the west. Temperature's in the teens, around 20 south. South winds up to 10 mph with a few higher gusts over the Champlain Valley.

Tonight

Clear early east with increasing clouds from the west. A chance of widely scattered snow showers over Northern New York after midnight. Not as bitterly cold with lows in the single digits above zero, coolest over the Northeast Kingdom. South winds 5 to 15 mph gusting to 25 mph west of the Green Mountains.

Sunday

A mix of sun and clouds with isolated snow showers, mainly over Northern New York. A few showers drifting over Northern Green Mountains. No valley accumulation. Highs closer to normal and in the lower to mid 20s, coolest over Northern New York. South winds becoming northwest between 10 and 15 mph.

Sunday Night

Becoming clear with any isolated snow showers ending through the evening. Lows in the single digits below zero, with some teens below over Northern New York. Winds becoming light and variable.

Significant/Hazardous Weather

Frigid temperatures slowly loosen their grip through this weekend with another ‘bout of arctic air on the way next week.

Extended Forecast

Today

This evening: Increasing mid and high clouds from the west. Temperature's in the teens, around 20 south. South winds up to 10 mph with a few higher gusts over the Champlain Valley.

Tonight

Clear early east with increasing clouds from the west. A chance of widely scattered snow showers over Northern New York after midnight. Not as bitterly cold with lows in the single digits above zero, coolest over the Northeast Kingdom. South winds 5 to 15 mph gusting to 25 mph west of the Green Mountains.

Sunday

A mix of sun and clouds with isolated snow showers, mainly over Northern New York. A few showers drifting over Northern Green Mountains. No valley accumulation. Highs closer to normal and in the lower to mid 20s, coolest over Northern New York. South winds becoming northwest between 10 and 15 mph.

Sunday Night

Becoming clear with any isolated snow showers ending through the evening. Lows in the single digits below zero, with some teens below over Northern New York. Winds becoming light and variable.

Monday

Mostly sunny with increasing clouds through midday and the afternoon. Colder highs ranging through the teens. Winds becoming south between 5 and 15 mph.

Monday Night

Becoming mostly cloudy with an increasing chance of snow showers after midnight.  Very cold with lows between 5 below and 5 above zero.

Tuesday

Cloudy with light snow. Warmer with highs around freezing south and west with mid to upper 20s northeast.

Tuesday Night

Becoming partly cloudy with scattered snow showers coming to an end. Colder with lows around zero and below zero with teens below over Northern New York.

Wednesday

Sunny, bitterly cold, and blustery. Highs only in the mid single digits above zero to mid teens, warmest south.

Significant/Hazardous Weather

Frigid temperatures slowly loosen their grip through this weekend with another ‘bout of arctic air on the way next week.

Recreational Forecast

General:

Sunny with increasing clouds over Northern New York through the afternoon. Not as cold with highs in the mid teens to lower 20s. Winds becoming south up to 10 mph with a few higher gusts over the Champlain Valley.

Brief:

Yet another arctic air mass has settled over Northern New England, at the end of this past week, and it will not be the last that this winter offers. Thankfully temperatures slowly but briefly climb back to around normal by the end of this weekend. Today provides very similar conditions to yesterday but highs will be a good 10 degrees warmer as surface high pressure continues to slide east. Surface high pressure spins in a clockwise or anticyclonic direction. This surface feature is positioned to the east and allows a relatively warmer air mass to wrap around its backside. Sunshine will be abundant today with highs in the mid teens to lower 20s. Clouds increase later this afternoon over Northern New York and tonight over Vermont, ahead of a very weak disturbance, accompanied by more bearable overnight lows in the single digits above zero. Weak and moisture starved low pressure moves through Central Quebec tomorrow making for the chance of widely scattered snow showers. The best chance of some showers comes west of Vermont and over the northern mountains, with no valley accumulation expected. Low pressure swings a cold front overhead tomorrow night allowing the mercury to fall back below zero, with highs in the teens on Monday. A more potent low pressure system supplies light snow on Tuesday, with a small accumulation likely. Another arctic air mass takes over for the middle to end of the upcoming week. While computer models are still deciphering the intensity of the cold for the middle to end of the new week, it will likely be similar to the last few days and today. Computer models point to the chance of a storm next weekend although snow may not be the only precipitation type. This is far ahead in the forecast therefore plenty of time is offered to hash out the details.

Winds:

Winds switch to the south today, up to 10 mph with a few higher gusts over the Champlain Valley. South winds prevail overnight and switch to the northwest later tomorrow between 5 and 15 mph.
For more details on Lake Champlain, go to: http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&product=REC&issuedby=BTV

Mountain:

While it sure is abnormal, you may want to head to the hills to escape the bitter cold. A strong temperature inversion set up overnight making lower and mid elevation colder than upper elevations. If you do plan on getting into the mountains today do not expect Cancun-like temperatures as they generally remain in the single digits above zero. Surface high pressure supplies lots of sunshine today with increasing clouds over Northern New York this afternoon. After highs in the teens return over mid-elevations tomorrow a cold front knocks temperature back below normal. This front moves through with little fanfare other than some widely scattered snow showers late tonight into tomorrow. The northern mountains have the best chance to collect an inch or so of new snow. After a dry day on Monday due to weak and transient surface high pressure, a better chance of measurable snow comes from a clipper system on Tuesday. Computer models are still struggling to come to agreement if a little moisture advection from the south makes for a better chance of a light accumulation. The freeze door to the tundra swings back open behind a cold front on Tuesday night with dry and bitterly cold conditions returning for the middle to the end of the new week.

Winds Today Sunday Monday
2000ft SW 5 to 15 mph SSW 10 to 15 mph W 10 to 15 mph
4000ft SW 10 to 20 mph SW 20 to 35 mph W 15 to 30 mph
6000ft WSW 10 to 35 mph W 35 to 50 mph W 20 to 45 mph
Temperatures Today Sunday Monday
2000ft Around 10 above Mid teens Around 10
4000ft Around 5 Lower teens Single digits above
6000ft Around zero Single digits above Around zero

Eye on the Sky is produced at the Fairbanks Museum & Planetarium.

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