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Eye on the Sky

February 22, 2019

Detailed Forecast

Today

Partly to mostly sunny, except mostly cloudy in the northern Adirondacks and Hudson Valley. Highs in the upper 20s to lower 30s north, mid to upper 30s south and in the Champlain Valley. Winds from the northwest at 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight

Decreasing clouds. Lows in the single digits to around 10 above north, low to mid teens in the south. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph early, then becoming light and variable.

Saturday

Sunshine filtering through increasing high-level cloudiness. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s, some mid 30s northeast. Winds light and variable east of the Greens, south to southeast at 5 to 10 mph in the west.

Saturday Night

Becoming cloudy. Snow developing after midnight, changing to sleet or freezing rain west of the Greens; snow and sleet accumulation a trace to an inch. Early lows in the 20s, with temperatures rising after midnight. Winds becoming southeast around 5 mph east of the Greens, and 10 to 15 mph from the Green Mountains westward.

Significant/Hazardous Weather

Daytime temperatures today and Saturday will run near or above freezing. That plus a little help from the sun will cause chunks of snow and ice to start falling off of the rooftops.

Extended Forecast

Today

Partly to mostly sunny, except mostly cloudy in the northern Adirondacks and Hudson Valley. Highs in the upper 20s to lower 30s north, mid to upper 30s south and in the Champlain Valley. Winds from the northwest at 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight

Decreasing clouds. Lows in the single digits to around 10 above north, low to mid teens in the south. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph early, then becoming light and variable.

Saturday

Sunshine filtering through increasing high-level cloudiness. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s, some mid 30s northeast. Winds light and variable east of the Greens, south to southeast at 5 to 10 mph in the west.

Saturday Night

Becoming cloudy. Snow developing after midnight, changing to sleet or freezing rain west of the Greens; snow and sleet accumulation a trace to an inch. Early lows in the 20s, with temperatures rising after midnight. Winds becoming southeast around 5 mph east of the Greens, and 10 to 15 mph from the Green Mountains westward.

Sunday

A wintry mix changing to rain during the morning west of the Greens. Around midday east to the Connecticut Valley and in southern New Hampshire, and during the afternoon in the White Mountains. Highs in the mid to upper 30s east, and in the upper 30s to mid 40s west. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph, gusting to 30 mph west of the Greens.

Sunday Night

Showers changing back to snow showers. Lows in the 20s, from near 20 in the Adirondacks, to near 30 in parts of NH.

Monday

Snow showers, more frequent through the northern mountains, scattered in northern valleys and southern mountains, and decreasing in the afternoon. Partly sunny in southern valleys. Temperatures steady or falling in the 20s north to the low 30s south.

Monday Night

Snow showers lingering across the higher terrain north, and a few flurries in the rest of the north, and the southern mountains. Partly cloudy in southern valleys. Much colder. Lows zero to 5 above north, 10 to 15 south.

Tuesday

Partly sunny north and mostly sunny south. Cold. Highs 10 to 15 north, reaching the 20s south.

Significant/Hazardous Weather

Daytime temperatures today and Saturday will run near or above freezing. That plus a little help from the sun will cause chunks of snow and ice to start falling off of the rooftops.

Recreational Forecast

General:

Partly to mostly sunny, except mostly cloudy in the northern Adirondacks and Hudson Valley. Highs in the upper 20s to lower 30s north, mid to upper 30s south and in the Champlain Valley. Winds from the northwest at 10 to 15 mph.

Brief:

A greyish, dampish, mildish day yesterday did offer some breaks of sun in southern valleys and just east of the Adirondacks. The persistence of the clouds overnight acted like a blanket, keeping temperatures in the upper 20s and low 30s overnight, some low to mid 20s showing up north where clearing has been developing. The clouds will erode gradually as relatively weak high pressure builds east, one piece over the Great Lakes, and a second one supplying our slightly cooler air from James Bay in northwest Quebec. Gentle northwest winds and temperatures typical for the last week of February should add up to a fairly decent afternoon. The two highs consolidate over us tonight, with a partly cloudy, crisp night, leading to a fairly sunny start to our weekend Saturday morning. However, that is not likely to last. The next in a series of storms coming out of the Rockies and then northeast into the Great Lakes, bringing its clouds in by Saturday evening. The storm’s track to our west will steer milder air our way, so we look for light snow or a wintry mix to develop late Saturday night in western and southern areas, reaching northeastern locations early Sunday morning. Most areas can expect any mix to change to rain showers, though some snow or a mix could linger in far northern portions of NH, the Northeast Kingdom, into the Eastern Townships. By Sunday night, a secondary storm forms near or just east of New England, drawing colder, drier air into the area, which brings most of the rain or snow showers to an end south, while snow showers persist over the higher terrain north into Monday. This appears to be the initial push of a colder weather pattern, ending February on a cold note, and playing a similar tune into the first part of March. It is too soon to know whether storms will be able to take advantage of the colder air for any winter mischief, but regardless, it doesn’t appear Spring will get much of a jump start early in March.

Winds:

Northwest winds today averaging 5 to 15 mph. Tonight, winds northwest near 10 mph this evening, diminishing to light and variable. On Saturday, light winds, turning to the south and southeast less than 10 mph, mostly in the Champlain Valley. Sunday’s outlook calls for south to southeast winds 10 to 25 mph, gusting to 35 mph.

For more details on Lake Champlain, go to: http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&product=REC&issuedby=BTV

Mountain:

Today will start with morning clouds, in and out across the summits, giving way to periods of sunshine. Moderate northwest winds will accompany slightly colder temperatures. The weekend outlook starts with a mix of sunshine and clouds Saturday. Light to moderate northwest winds decreasing, turning to the southwest on lower slopes, and temperatures moderating. Clouds will lower Saturday night, as a wintry mix spreads over the area, the summits frequently obscured into Sunday, when temperatures will climb to near or just above freezing, turning any mix to light rain showers. Strong south to southeast winds, shifting to the southwest late.

Winds Today Saturday Sunday
2000ft NW 15 to 25 mph SW 5 to 10 mph SE 35 to 50 mph
4000ft NW 15 to 30 mph W 10 to 20 mph S>SE 50 to 65 mph
6000ft NW 55 > 45 mph NW 45>W 35 mph S>SW 50 to 70 mph
Temperatures Today Saturday Sunday
2000ft 26 N/34 S 32 N/36 S 32 N/36 S
4000ft 20 to 25 near 30 low 30s
6000ft teens 20s low 30s

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